Apple's AI in China: A Shift to Alibaba?

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July 19, 2025

In an era marked by rapid technological advancement, the burgeoning partnership between Apple and Alibaba has garnered significant attentionOn February 11, media outlets reported that Apple is in discussions with Alibaba to develop artificial intelligence (AI) specifically tailored for Chinese consumersThis partnership has seen both companies seeking approval from regulatory bodies for the newly developed AI features, highlighting the importance of compliance in the burgeoning tech landscape.

Despite the lack of formal comments from either Apple or Alibaba, the market responded enthusiastically to the newsOn February 12, Alibaba's Hong Kong shares surged by over 8%, pushing its market capitalization to approximately HKD 2.16 trillionIn a ripple effect, the stock of Alibaba’s affiliates in the A-share market also showed resilience, while Apple’s stock saw a 2% increase by the close of trading on February 11. This kind of immediate market reaction underscores the interconnectedness of the global tech industry's fortunes, where news in one part of the world can have profound implications elsewhere.

This collaboration comes as China's recent developments in AI applications, especially with the emergence of deep models such as DeepSeek, have ignited a wave of optimismChinese tech giants are experiencing a reevaluation of their market values, and Alibaba appears to be one of the primary beneficiaries, with its U.S. stock increasing by more than 30% this year aloneA successful partnership could be a turning point for both Apple and Alibaba, as Apple aims to leverage AI to enhance product sales, particularly iPhones, in the competitive Chinese consumer marketIn contrast, Alibaba could significantly boost its foothold in consumer-facing markets through this collaboration.

As revealed in Apple’s latest financial report, the company has set new records for revenue, profit margins, and gross profit in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, corresponding to the fourth quarter of 2024. However, one striking area of concern is the performance in the Greater China market, where revenues dropped by 11%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of decline

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Apple CEO Tim Cook attributed this trend to various factors, including the delayed launch of Apple Intelligence in ChinaAccording to Apple's timeline, the much-anticipated AI initiative is scheduled to roll out more language options, including Simplified Chinese, by April of this year.

Additionally, a developers' event titled "Harnessing the Power of Apple Intelligence" is slated for March 25 in Shanghai, signaling to observers that Apple’s AI strategy in China may soon be unveiledGiven the rapid advancements made by domestic AI service providers such as Baidu, Tencent, ByteDance, and the newly popular DeepSeek, the choice of Alibaba for this partnership raises questionsWhy has Alibaba emerged as the front-runner over its competitors?

Reports suggest that Apple opted not to proceed with DeepSeek due to capacity issues; the latter’s team is reportedly fewer than 140 members, which might not meet Apple's extensive requirements for AI developmentIn contrast, Alibaba Cloud, with the launch of the Tongyi Qianwen model, boasts significant experience in servicing large enterprises and the computational resources that might be essential for AppleThis indicates a need for collaboration that can handle complex requirements related to teamwork, resource allocation, and long-term maintenance.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley, such as Eric Woodlin, have pointed out that Alibaba's extensive data related to consumer behaviors—including purchases and payment patterns—could provide Apple with invaluable insights to create personalized generative AI functionalities for Chinese usersSuch a partnership might commence with joint ventures between Apple and Alibaba, but could evolve to include other Chinese cloud computing entities over time.

However, Alibaba Cloud's strength in B2B services contrasts with its slower pace in the consumer market, where Tongyi's growth has not matched its rivals'. On the capabilities front, the Tongyi Qianwen model stands at the leading edge, having released the Qwen 2.5-Max ultra-large MoE model

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Recent benchmark tests indicate that this model’s performance is comparable to that of industry leaders like GPT-4o and DeepSeek-V3. In fact, amidst the top-ranking models in mathematical assessments, Qwen 2.5-Max distinguishes itself as the only non-inference model.

On the mobile application front, however, the Tongyi app has yet to create a significant presence; it ranks 12th in efficiency within Apple's App Store free-download charts, lagging behind DeepSeek and other competitorsPositioning itself alongside Apple could serve as a strategic pathway for Tongyi to enhance consumer engagement and brand awareness, assuming that the user experience aligns effectively with Apple’s AI functionalities.

Interestingly, recent reports highlighted that Tongyi underwent structural realignment at the end of last year by being transferred from Alibaba Cloud to the Alibaba Intelligent Information Business Group, which included shifts in product management and engineering teams aimed at bolstering its consumer offeringsPre-realignment, the consumer team of Tongyi had already set ambitious daily active user goalsAs of October 2024, Tongyi boasts approximately 10.12 million monthly visits on its webpage, indicating a potential for growth.

By exploiting the synergy from Apple’s AI and smart devices, Tongyi hopes to elevate its brand recognition among personal users significantlyHowever, success hinges on delivering a user-friendly experience that deviates from Alibaba's traditional, more generalized appsThe challenge lies in effectively merging with Apple's ecosystem and Siri to provide simplified, personalized results for users.

Adding to the intrigue, Jack Ma, Alibaba's founder, made a notable appearance at the Alibaba campus in Hangzhou on February 11, coinciding with the unfolding developmentsHis return to public engagements coincided with significant discussions on AI's future impact, during which he expressed that the next twenty years of AI development would exceed current imaginations

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